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Everton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2021 at 8pm UK
Goodison Park
Arsenal logo

Everton
2 - 1
Arsenal

Richarlison (79'), Gray (90+2')
Godfrey (51'), Gray (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Odegaard (45+2')
Xhaka (63'), Odegaard (74')

Preview: Everton vs. Arsenal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Everton and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Everton and Arsenal will both aim to bounce back from disappointing midweek defeats during Monday's Premier League battle at Goodison Park.

The Toffees suffered a dampening 4-1 Merseyside derby defeat to Liverpool, while Mikel Arteta's side went down 3-2 to Manchester United.


Match preview

 Everton manager Rafael Benitez, December 1, 2021© Reuters

Rafael Benitez's reunion with Liverpool on the blue half of Merseyside was never expected to be a joyous occasion, with the Reds in rampant goalscoring form and the Toffees losing their golden touch from the early stages of the season.

Mohamed Salah struck twice on the day after Jordan Henderson's curling effort broke the deadlock early doors, and even though Demarai Gray threatened the unlikeliest of comebacks, Diogo Jota killed any hopes of an Everton revival late on.

With their dismal winless streak in the Premier League now standing at eight matches, Everton find themselves down in 14th in the table before Saturday's games kick off, so they could very well drop closer to danger before Monday's battle commences.

Six of Everton's last eight top-flight matches have now ended in defeat - a truly alarming fall from grace given their bright start to life under Benitez - whose side have conceded eight goals and scored just one in their last three successive defeats.

Of course, Arsenal-linked Dominic Calvert-Lewin's injury woes have not helped them on the goalscoring front, but a lack of solutions to the England international's absence has been apparent, and the Gunners can feel confident of condemning Everton to a fourth defeat from five home games here.

Manchester United's David de Gea saves from Arsenal's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang on December 2, 2021© Reuters

After one of the most bizarre goals in the history of the Premier League flew into the back of the net past a stricken David de Gea, Arsenal failed to maintain the intensity following Emile Smith Rowe's freak strike and were made to pay the price.

Cristiano Ronaldo was up to his old tricks against Arsenal with a brace on the night - although Martin Odegaard immediately cancelled out his first - and Bruno Fernandes also beat Aaron Ramsdale to punish Arteta's young guns.

A truly forgettable night at the Theatre of Dreams saw Arsenal's six-game league unbeaten run against Man United come to an end, and they also missed the chance to leapfrog West Ham United into the top four, with the fifth-placed Gunners now just one point clear of Tottenham Hotspur having played a game more.

A previous defeat at Anfield last month means that Arsenal are at risk of losing three away games on the bounce in the Premier League on Monday night - which most recently happened in February 2019 - but they will welcome the chance to pit their wits against an out-of-sorts Toffees side to get back on track.

However, Everton did the double over Arsenal last term - winning 2-1 at Goodison Park before a 1-0 Emirates triumph - and the Gunners have only managed to win one of their last five meetings with the Toffees in the Premier League.

Everton Premier League form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Arsenal Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Arsenal form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Everton's Dominic Calvert-Lewin, August 21, 2021© Reuters

Everton star man Calvert-Lewin continues to recover from his thigh problem, but Tom Davies will miss out and Salomon Rondon sustained a hamstring injury in the Merseyside derby.

Andre Gomes and Yerry Mina have outside chances of making the squad on Monday, and Mason Holgate's return from suspension will give Benitez a much-needed defensive boost.

Either ex-Arsenal man Alex Iwobi or Anthony Gordon should benefit from Rondon's absence this week, and the latter could be given the nod after being brought on for the Venezuelan in midweek.

As for Arsenal, Bukayo Saka was fit enough to come off the bench at Old Trafford, but long-term victims Sead Kolasinac and Granit Xhaka remain on the sidelines and Emile Smith Rowe is a slight doubt with discomfort.

Second-choice goalkeeper Bernd Leno is also nursing a groin strain but was not going to displace Ramsdale either way, and Nuno Tavares will aim to keep Kieran Tierney out of the team once more.

Saka's expected return to the first XI could spell trouble for Gabriel Martinelli, with Arteta highly unlikely to drop Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang despite his lack of ruthlessness recently.

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Coleman, Godfrey, Keane, Digne; Townsend, Doucoure, Allan, Gordon; Gray; Richarlison

Arsenal possible starting lineup:
Ramsdale; Tomiyasu, White, Gabriel, Tavares; Partey, Lokonga; Saka, Odegaard, Smith Rowe; Aubameyang


SM words green background

We say: Everton 0-1 Arsenal

The less said about Arsenal's defence versus the 'Big Six' sides the better, but Arteta's men have done well to shut up shop against most other teams and should take advantage of Everton's downward slump to get back on track.

It is difficult to back Arteta's men to produce a goal-laden showing given their struggles to score from open play - not helped by Aubameyang missing sitters two weeks in a row - so this contest could be decided by just the one goal.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Everton had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Everton vs Arsenal

Everton
17.2%
Draw
13.6%
Arsenal
69.3%
501
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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