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Tactics Column: A look at game state shows the state of our game

You can be trailing, level, or leading in a football match. Of those three, it’s pretty obvious that being ahead is best and being behind is worst. But Arsenal have, in their last 10 Premier League games, only been ahead for under half an hour and behind more than a third of the time. Did the Gunners deserve to lose to Tottenham and Everton? According to Mikel Arteta and his reading of expected goals, no, not really. 'Last weekend [against Everton] it was a 67% chance of winning and a 9% chance of losing, and you lose,' Arteta said in a recent press conference. 'And 7% against Spurs, and you lose. If you are constantly in the 60s and 70s long-term, you are going to win many more matches...
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